Alberta has a chance in independence to attain something even better than American statehood. When Alberta separates from Canada, the United States would immediately offer us statehood into the union.
If (and that’s a BIG if) Albertans made the choice, it is likely within hours our province would be the newest American state.
Objectively speaking, American statehood is one of the most coveted positions on the planet. The US is the sole economic, political, and military superpower in the world and will likely remain so at a minimum for the next century.
An Independent Alberta could end up in a BETTER position than as an American state.
Here is why.
Canada is the largest single exporter of energy to the United States.
91% of Canadian oil production comes from Alberta and Saskatchewan combined, the lions share (77%), from Alberta. (see here):
Crude Oil and Equivalent Production by Province, 2012 (Canada, National Energy Board)
Energy is the lifeblood of a modern industrial economy, let alone a military superpower.
The reason should be obvious but dope smoking Greenies can’t seem to wrap their head around it.
Without energy, (especially petroleum) the lights for aquaponic marijuana grow ops shut off. Trucks carrying food for grocery stores stop making deliveries. Hospital emergency rooms start having blackouts. Bombers run out of jet fuel. Infrastructure critical for maintaining the rule of law shuts down.
In short, the moment there are shortages of energy – chaos ensues.
Video game development, manufacturing, web development, eCommerce, lumber, minerals and even agriculture cannot serve the critical need that energy does. “Green energy” technologies are NOT viable to sustain a modern, urban, industrial society like the United States.
The Americans realize this. Justin Trudeau does not. (see here)
Either that, or he DOES but does not want the rest of us to. Especially in the West, especially in Alberta.
For Alberta (Saskatchewan to a lesser extent), this presents a unique situation.
Alberta and Saskatchewan possess something that is absolutely critical to the Americans. The rest of Canada does not.
Most certainly Canadian non-petroleum industries provide immense value to the Americans, but Alberta and Saskatchewan oil exports are an Achilles heel to them. If supply of oil from Alberta and Saskatchewan ceases, there literally will be mass civil unrest on the streets of the United States.
This provides our province with tremendous amounts of leverage no one else on the planet possesses, including every other Canadian province.
One might raise the issue “with the world’s most powerful military, can’t the Americans just take the oil by force?”
The answer is a resounding: “No.”
Western Canadian oil is unconventional.
Unlike middle east oil, where regional despots can simply force unskilled minions to extract it with crude, rudimentary tools (see here), it requires tremendous amounts of capital, skilled labor, and strong established property rights to make the oil sands in Alberta and Saskatchewan viable.
From a strategic perspective, an American military occupation of ANY Canadian province would immediately cause (or in the present case, accelerate) flights of both capital AND skilled labor. No one invests in a warzone. Educated, wealthy professionals generally have the means and are usually the first to escape. The loss of both would be enough to completely shut down the oil sands.
From a tactical perspective, there are thousands upon thousands of miles of railways, roads, and pipelines in BC, Alberta, and Saskatchewan that would need to be secure to extract Canadian oil. If the performance of the US military in the Wars in Afghanistan and Iraq (even Vietnam) are reflective of anything it is that the US military does not do extended occupations very well. They most certainly would not be up to the task of subduing insurgencies in the most well armed former Canadian provinces (see here, and here).
Ergo, the Americans CANNOT take Western Canadian oil by force. To do so would, literally, be to shoot themselves in the foot.
Taking inventory of the current events, Keystone XL cancelled and the governments of British Columbia and within Quebec refusing pipelines, it is time that we in Alberta and Saskatchewan realize the leverage we possess and drive towards using it for our people’s benefit.
Personally, I would like to avoid seeing it come down to this but Alberta and Saskatchewan in independence COULD enter into negotiations with the United States to see the Americans deal very harshly with our former Canadian provincial opponents.
To that end, there is another dynamic to consider.
Should Canada as a whole dissolve as a nation, the Americans might not want any other province BUT Alberta and Saskatchewan.
They are aware of the geography, history, demography and cultural disunity among our nation. For every other province BUT Alberta and Saskatchewan there is less benefit and more baggage:
Americans would not want to take on the Quebec sovereignty movement.
They would not want Bay Street banks competing against Wall Street banks, nor the Bank of Canada against the US Federal Reserve.
Granting British Columbia statehood might resurrect the Cascadia movement and prompt Oregon and Washington state to start secessionist movements themselves.
Every Canadian province but Alberta and Saskatchewan (for now) are deeply indebted with low skilled, aging populations incapable of supporting themselves without substantial forms of equalization. If you think Western Canadians are unhappy about bailing out Eastern Canada, how do you think Texans would feel about it?
More likely in a world without a united Canada, every province that does not have something the Americans NEED will end up as Puerto Rico:
Disenfranchised American territories with no say whatsoever in US congressional affairs. The difference is Canadian provinces possess substantially more useful resources. The Americans would have a field day exploiting them to serve their own purposes, and the people of those provinces would have practically no recourse whatsoever.
We in Alberta could have that power in separation to make that happen.
Again I must reiterate that I would hate to see it come to that. Especially with British Columbia, who I would love to see as the maritime component of a new Western Canadian nation spanning from BC to Manitoba, maybe even Ontario.
However, what I believe first and foremost is independence for Alberta.
In independence, there is little downside risk knowing that Alberta could easily become a US state AND have a choice.
Being of such strategic importance to the Americans through separation from Canada, we can become something so much more.
We can become our own independent nation.